Interviews

Cybercrime by the year 2020

by Mark Rowe

Based on scenarios for cybercrime written by the European Cybercrime Centre (EC3) at Europol and ICSPA (International Cyber Security Protection Alliance), TrendMicro has launched the Project 2020 web series (http://2020.trendmicro.com).

The online videos are designed to get industry, business, government and others thinking about the threats they may face by the end of this decade, and how to better prepare.

The nine video series aims to bring to life the stories told in the Project 2020 white paper, which features three scenarios designed to anticipate how technology could be used, and subverted. It is hoped that these videos will help to engage an even wider audience beyond the confines of the information security sphere.

Troels Oerting, Head of the European Cybercrime Centre, says: “We all face challenges coming from the rapid development of the internet. More than 24 billion devices will soon be connected 24/7 to the internet and, with the innovation of sensors and the ability to connect ‘things’ (cars, fridges, boats, medical tools, homes), considerable amounts of data will be generated about our behaviour, locations, health, web searches and so on. The Internet and its huge potential will revolutionise our lives and developments in society, however in the process lots of potentially personal information will be accumulated. The report and movie highlight the pros and cons and will hopefully also trigger a discussion on privacy, how much information we should share, and how to secure our data.”

The Project 2020 white paper was written with Europol and the International Cyber Security Protection Alliance (ICSPA) – a business-led non-profit organisation. Its three core stories identify a number of possible scenarios depicting the evolution of cybercrime by the year 2020.

First, the story of Kinuko, a second generation ‘digital native’ whose experience of the world is filtered through the virtual content beamed onto her contact lenses, and who has so many online identities she has outsourced management of them to a third party.

Project 2020 also describes a scenario of robot manufacturer Xinesys, which has to deal with increasingly sophisticated ‘anti-sec’ activists trying to undermine its supply chain, and Lakoocha – a content service provider at increasing risk of critical infrastructure attacks.

Finally it describes the government of ‘South Sylvania’, an emerging nation that uses advanced behavioural profiling to help intelligence agents identify individuals at risk of engaging in criminal or terrorist activity.

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